Research question
Can an STC-based timing condition contribute useful information on US100 four-minute candles after directional filters, realistic trading costs, and explicit exits are included?
Rule definition
A setup is evaluated only after its signal and directional permission are confirmed on a closed four-minute candle. The final versioned rule set will document exact settings, sessions, entry conflicts, stop behavior, and exit priority.
Cost model
Spread and adverse execution assumptions must be included before conclusions are published. Sensitivity to small cost changes is part of the review.
Validated results are not yet published.
Displaying blank wins, losses, drawdown, or net-result fields would imply a completed study. Displaying invented values would be worse. This report remains labelled Forward Testing until its dataset and assumptions are ready for publication.
What the study will test
- Closed-bar STC timing versus simpler baselines
- Directional and market-condition filters
- Spread and slippage sensitivity
- Drawdown and losing clusters
- Behavior across nearby settings
- Out-of-sample and forward observation
Failure conditions
Choppy momentum rotations, delayed confirmation, cost-sensitive entries, regime dependence, and unstable parameter choices will be documented rather than removed from the sample.
Current verdict
No performance conclusion is claimed yet. The methodology is suitable for continued testing; that is not the same as a validated trading edge.